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今日猪市点评:南北缺猪压力偏轻,月末国庆 猪价或有逆势偏强的支撑!
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最近几年,市场凸显旺季不旺的特征,市场逢节下跌现象也较普遍,今年受经济环境以及替代消费影响,猪肉销量不佳,节前,下游市场背后需求一般,屠宰场开工率虽有提升,但是,从基层反馈了解,南北地区,主流屠企上猪节奏加快,缺猪压力偏轻!
因此,个人预判,阶段性市场购销双增局面下,随着节日到来,需求跟进逐步转弱,而养殖端出栏压力较高,供应格局再次转差,短期内,猪价走势或将以震荡下行为主,尤其是,节后猪价或将延续惯性下跌的走势。不过,进入月末,随着国庆假期临近,餐饮以及旅游需求前景乐观,生猪价格走低,二次育肥逢低入场,月末,猪价或有逆势偏强的支撑!
“金九”月份,在国内生猪市场,基于八月末市场呈现逆势上涨,本月初,全国生猪报价维持高位震荡的走势,但是,上周末以来,猪价上涨逐步承压,下降压力明显加大,市场颇有下跌“猛抬头”的走势,中秋前,市场“逢节必跌”的表现凸显,那么,市场发生了啥?